BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Southern Arkansas

Class: 2 Class Rank: 31 Conference: Great American Conference Record: (8-3) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength =  112.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Home    W * 130.75  38   0    2 107 (  3-  8) Arkansas Tech          17.87     20.13                      
  2 09/09/2018 Away    W * 135.27  28  23    2   9 (  9-  3) Harding                22.39    -17.39                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    W * 120.27  36  12    2  99 (  3-  8) SW Oklahoma St          7.39     16.61                      
  4 09/22/2018 Home    W * 111.58  27  14    2  74 (  4-  7) NW Oklahoma St         -1.30     14.30                      
  5 09/29/2018 Away    W * 104.77  55  45    2  97 (  5-  6) Oklahoma Baptist       -8.11     18.11                      
  6 10/06/2018 Home    W *  95.25  21  16    2  98 (  3-  8) Southern Nazarene     -17.63     22.63                      
  7 10/13/2018 Away    L *  91.48   0  21    2  43 (  6-  5) SE Oklahoma St        -21.40      0.40                      
  8 10/20/2018 Home    W * 125.87  48   9    2 115 (  3-  8) East Central OK        12.99     26.01                      
  9 10/27/2018 Neutral W * 122.84  34  14    2  68 (  5-  6) Henderson St            9.96     10.04                      
 10 11/03/2018 Away    L * 104.07  10  35    2   7 ( 12-  1) Ouachita Baptist       -8.81    -16.19                      
 11 11/10/2018 Away    L * 102.06  17  20    2  69 (  6-  6) Arkansas-Monticello   -10.82      7.82                      
 12 12/01/2018 Neutral L   110.38  25  30    2  26 (  7-  5) Missouri Western       -2.50     -2.50                      
      Averages             112.88  28.2 19.9

Best game:  135.27 = 5 point win over Harding
Worst game:  91.48 = 21 point loss to SE Oklahoma St
Team stdev:  14.08